Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChangchun Yatai to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chanceChangchun Yatai or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Changchun Yatai take on Dongguan United on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Development Area Stadium. Changchun Yatai are 9th with 39 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Dongguan United sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Changchun Yatai's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Shaanxi Union 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Dongguan United's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Hebei Kungfu 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Changchun Yatai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Dongguan United 1–3 Changchun Yatai.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Changchun Yatai and 1.1 for Dongguan United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Changchun Yatai 58%, draw 24%, Dongguan United 18%.
Safer route: Changchun Yatai or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Changchun Yatai 2–1 Dongguan United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Changchun Yatai58%fair 1.72 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.30
Dongguan United18%fair 5.67 · @4.00
3.19Expected goals
2.08Changchun Yatai xG
1.11Dongguan United xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Changchun Yatai 2.1 – 1.1 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Changchun Yatai have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dongguan United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Changchun Yatai 2–1 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United?
Changchun Yatai vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Development Area Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
