Value bet: Yanbian Longding to win @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYanbian Longding to win ✗52% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City preview and prediction
The match
Nanjing City travel to Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium in the League One on Saturday 1 August (11:00 WAT) to face Yanbian Longding. Yanbian Longding are 6th with 46 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Nanjing City sit 12th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Yanbian Longding's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Meizhou Kejia 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nanjing City's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Changchun Yatai 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Yanbian Longding arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Nanjing City 0–0 Yanbian Longding.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Yanbian Longding and 0.9 for Nanjing City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yanbian Longding 52%, draw 22%, Nanjing City 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Yanbian Longding to win at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Yanbian Longding 1–0 Nanjing City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yanbian Longding52%fair 1.91 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Nanjing City25%fair 3.94 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.43Yanbian Longding xG
0.88Nanjing City xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Yanbian Longding 1.4 – 0.9 Nanjing City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
On our numbers Yanbian Longding have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nanjing City 25%.
How many goals will there be in Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
Our predicted score is Yanbian Longding 1–0 Nanjing City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City (League One) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
