Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai preview and prediction
The match
Nantong Zhiyun host Changchun Yatai in the League One on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Rugao Olympic Sports Center. Nantong Zhiyun are 2nd with 57 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Changchun Yatai sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nantong Zhiyun's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Guangxi Hengchen 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Changchun Yatai's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Shenzhen Juniors 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Nantong Zhiyun and 0.9 for Changchun Yatai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nantong Zhiyun 2–0 Changchun Yatai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nantong Zhiyun60%fair 1.68 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.70
Changchun Yatai19%fair 5.34 · @4.50
2.80Expected goals
1.87Nantong Zhiyun xG
0.93Changchun Yatai xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Nantong Zhiyun 1.9 – 0.9 Changchun Yatai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantong Zhiyun to win✓
60%
1.68
1.60
Double chance
Nantong Zhiyun or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
Nantong Zhiyun ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantong Zhiyun / FT Nantong Zhiyun✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.82
–
Form
Nantong Zhiyun – last 6
LWDLWD
18 Sep
vs Guangxi Hengchen
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Wuxi Wugou
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Dalian Huayi
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Shaanxi Union
4–1
W
16 Aug
@ Suzhou Dongwu
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Changchun Yatai – last 6
DWWLWL
19 Sep
@ Shenzhen Juniors
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Ningbo Professional
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Guangzhou E-Power
0–3
L
23 Aug
vs Dongguan United
6–0
W
14 Aug
@ Shaanxi Union
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantong Zhiyun and Changchun Yatai.
What is the prediction for Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
On our numbers Nantong Zhiyun have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Changchun Yatai 19%.
How many goals will there be in Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
Our predicted score is Nantong Zhiyun 2–0 Changchun Yatai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai (League One) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Rugao Olympic Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
