Shenzhen Juniors vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Shenzhen Juniors to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShenzhen Juniors to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceShenzhen Juniors or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.32
Shenzhen Juniors vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Shenzhen Juniors take on Heilongjiang Lava Spring on Sunday 12 July, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Longhua sports center stadium. Shenzhen Juniors are 5th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shenzhen Juniors's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Nantong Zhiyun 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Yanbian Longding 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Shenzhen Juniors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Shenzhen Juniors and 0.9 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 47% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Shenzhen Juniors or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shenzhen Juniors to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shenzhen Juniors 2–0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shenzhen Juniors62%fair 1.62 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Heilongjiang Lava Spring15%fair 6.74 · @4.00
2.96Expected goals
2.04Shenzhen Juniors xG
0.92Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
47%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Shenzhen Juniors 2.0 – 0.9 Heilongjiang Lava Spring expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shenzhen Juniors to win✗
62%
1.62
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Shenzhen Juniors or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Shenzhen Juniors ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shenzhen Juniors / FT Shenzhen Juniors✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.32
–
Form
Shenzhen Juniors – last 6
DLLDDW
4 Jul
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Dalian Huayi
4–5
L
19 Jun
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–3
L
14 Jun
vs Guangxi Hengchen
1–1
D
29 May
@ Guangzhou E-Power
0–0
D
24 May
@ Changchun Yatai
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 6
LDLDDL
4 Jul
@ Yanbian Longding
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Wuxi Wugou
3–3
D
13 Jun
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–3
L
30 May
@ Meizhou Kejia
2–2
D
23 May
@ Dongguan United
1–1
D
17 May
@ Shanghai Zetian
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shenzhen Juniors and Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
What is the prediction for Shenzhen Juniors vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our pick is Shenzhen Juniors to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Shenzhen Juniors vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
On our numbers Shenzhen Juniors have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 15%.
How many goals will there be in Shenzhen Juniors vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shenzhen Juniors vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our predicted score is Shenzhen Juniors 2–0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Shenzhen Juniors vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Shenzhen Juniors vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring (League One) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Longhua sports center stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
