Value bet: Shenzhen Juniors to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChangchun Yatai to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors preview and prediction
The match
Changchun Yatai host Shenzhen Juniors in the League One on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 08:30 (WAT) at Development Area Stadium. Changchun Yatai are 9th with 39 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Shenzhen Juniors sit 5th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Changchun Yatai's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Heilongjiang Lava Spring 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Shenzhen Juniors's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Beijing Pengrui 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shenzhen Juniors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Changchun Yatai and 1.4 for Shenzhen Juniors. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Shenzhen Juniors to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Changchun Yatai 1–1 Shenzhen Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Changchun Yatai41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Shenzhen Juniors36%fair 2.75 · @3.25
2.81Expected goals
1.45Changchun Yatai xG
1.35Shenzhen Juniors xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Changchun Yatai 1.5 – 1.4 Shenzhen Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changchun Yatai to win✗
41%
2.45
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changchun Yatai / FT Changchun Yatai✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Changchun Yatai – last 6
WLLWWW
9 May
@ Heilongjiang Lava Spring
3–2
W
3 May
@ Ningbo Professional
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–2
L
18 Apr
@ Dongguan United
3–1
W
11 Apr
vs Shaanxi Union
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Suzhou Dongwu
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Shenzhen Juniors – last 6
WWWLWW
16 May
@ Beijing Pengrui
1–0
W
10 May
vs Hebei Kungfu
2–0
W
3 May
@ Meizhou Kejia
4–1
W
25 Apr
vs Dongguan United
0–3
L
11 Apr
@ Ningbo Professional
3–0
W
4 Apr
vs Yanbian Longding
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changchun Yatai and Shenzhen Juniors.
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors?
On our numbers Changchun Yatai have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shenzhen Juniors 36%.
How many goals will there be in Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors?
Our predicted score is Changchun Yatai 1–1 Shenzhen Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors?
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors (League One) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Development Area Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
