Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai preview and prediction
The match
Changchun Yatai travel to Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center in the League One on Saturday 18 April (08:30 WAT) to face Dongguan United. Dongguan United are 16th with 16 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Changchun Yatai sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dongguan United's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Hebei Kungfu 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Changchun Yatai's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Shaanxi Union 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Changchun Yatai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Dongguan United and 1.2 for Changchun Yatai. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dongguan United 32%, draw 22%, Changchun Yatai 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Dongguan United 1–1 Changchun Yatai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dongguan United32%fair 3.10 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Changchun Yatai45%fair 2.20 · @2.15
2.13Expected goals
0.94Dongguan United xG
1.19Changchun Yatai xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Dongguan United 0.9 – 1.2 Changchun Yatai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changchun Yatai to win✓
45%
2.20
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changchun Yatai / FT Changchun Yatai✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.05
–
Form
Dongguan United – last 4
WLLL
12 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Meizhou Kejia
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Guangzhou E-Power
2–3
L
14 Mar
@ Wuxi Wugou
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Changchun Yatai – last 4
WWLL
11 Apr
vs Shaanxi Union
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Suzhou Dongwu
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Hebei Kungfu
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Nanjing City
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dongguan United and Changchun Yatai.
What is the prediction for Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
On our numbers Dongguan United have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Changchun Yatai 45%.
How many goals will there be in Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
Our predicted score is Dongguan United 1–1 Changchun Yatai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai?
Dongguan United vs Changchun Yatai (League One) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
