Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNantong Zhiyun to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Nantong Zhiyun preview and prediction
The match
Nantong Zhiyun travel to Dingnan Football Youth Training Center in the League One on Saturday 21 March (12:30 WAT) to face Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Nantong Zhiyun sit 2nd on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring and 1.5 for Nantong Zhiyun. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Nantong Zhiyun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring34%fair 2.98 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Nantong Zhiyun44%fair 2.27 · @2.25
2.69Expected goals
1.23Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.46Nantong Zhiyun xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.2 – 1.5 Nantong Zhiyun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantong Zhiyun to win✗
44%
2.27
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantong Zhiyun / FT Nantong Zhiyun✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.25
–
Form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 1
W
14 Mar
vs Guangxi Hengchen
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nantong Zhiyun – last 1
W
14 Mar
vs Hebei Kungfu
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Nantong Zhiyun.
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Nantong Zhiyun?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Nantong Zhiyun?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nantong Zhiyun 44%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Nantong Zhiyun?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Nantong Zhiyun?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Nantong Zhiyun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Nantong Zhiyun?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Nantong Zhiyun (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
