Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.82
Al-Karma vs Gharraf preview and prediction
The match
Al-Karma host Gharraf in the Iraqi League on Thursday 12 March, with kick-off at 21:15 (WAT). Al-Karma are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Gharraf sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gharraf's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Al-Karma and 0.7 for Gharraf. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Karma 58%, draw 27%, Gharraf 15%.
Safer route: Al-Karma or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Karma to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Al-Karma 1–0 Gharraf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Karma58%fair 1.73 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Gharraf15%fair 6.49 · @4.50
2.18Expected goals
1.51Al-Karma xG
0.66Gharraf xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.5 – 0.7 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Double chance
Al-Karma or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma✓
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.82
–
Form
Al-Karma – last 1
L
1 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gharraf – last 4
LLWW
6 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs Duhok
4–3
W
13 Feb
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Karma and Gharraf.
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Al-Karma have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gharraf 15%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al-Karma vs Gharraf?
Al-Karma vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
