Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Luz to win ✗37% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Tacuarembo vs La Luz preview and prediction
The match
La Luz travel to face Tacuarembo in the Segunda División on Tuesday 17 March (22:00 WAT). Tacuarembo are 13th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while La Luz sit 5th on 37 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Tacuarembo and 1.0 for La Luz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tacuarembo 33%, draw 30%, La Luz 37%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Tacuarembo 0–1 La Luz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacuarembo33%fair 3.04 · @2.55
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @2.90
La Luz37%fair 2.71 · @2.75
1.98Expected goals
0.95Tacuarembo xG
1.04La Luz xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 0.9 – 1.0 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Tacuarembo
La Luz
Attack vs Segunda División average
-29%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-8%
Our expected goals here
0.88
0.98
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Luz to win✗
37%
2.71
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Tacuarembo
No recent results on record.
La Luz
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and La Luz.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 30% and La Luz 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 0–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
Tacuarembo vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
