Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +82%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗57% · @3.20
Double chancePaysandu or draw ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Paysandu vs Colón preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Paysandu take on Colón on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Paysandu are 5th with 35 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Colón sit 3rd on 39 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Paysandu and 1.2 for Colón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paysandu 24%, draw 57%, Colón 19%.
Safer route: Paysandu or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paysandu or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paysandu 1–1 Colón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paysandu24%fair 4.10 · @2.25
Draw57%fair 1.76 · @3.20
Colón19%fair 5.35 · @3.00
2.58Expected goals
1.35Paysandu xG
1.23Colón xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.3 – 1.2 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
57%
1.76
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Paysandu or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Paysandu
No recent results on record.
Colón
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Colón.
Our pick is Paysandu or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Paysandu vs Colón?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Colón 19%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Colón?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Colón?
Paysandu vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
