Value bet: AS Agareb to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAS Agareb to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees AS Agareb take on Stade Gabesien on Monday 23 March, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT).
Form guide
AS Agareb's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Kerkennah 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Stade Gabesien's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to EO Sidi Bouzid 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
AS Agareb arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for AS Agareb and 1.3 for Stade Gabesien. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AS Agareb 44%, draw 24%, Stade Gabesien 32%.
Value angle: AS Agareb to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: AS Agareb 1–1 Stade Gabesien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AS Agareb44%fair 2.30 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
Stade Gabesien32%fair 3.09 · @2.88
2.85Expected goals
1.55AS Agareb xG
1.30Stade Gabesien xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: AS Agareb 1.5 – 1.3 Stade Gabesien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Agareb to win✗
44%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Agareb / FT AS Agareb✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Form
AS Agareb – last 3
WDW
28 Feb
vs Kerkennah
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Menzel Bourguiba
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs US Tataouine
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stade Gabesien – last 3
LLW
27 Feb
vs EO Sidi Bouzid
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Ariana
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Jendouba Sport
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Agareb and Stade Gabesien.
What is the prediction for AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien?
On our numbers AS Agareb have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stade Gabesien 32%.
How many goals will there be in AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien?
Our predicted score is AS Agareb 1–1 Stade Gabesien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien?
AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien (Cup) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Tunisia
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