Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT preview and prediction
The match
Raith Rovers host Inverness CT in the Challenge Cup on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 16:10 (WAT) at Firhill Stadium.
Form guide
Raith Rovers's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Ayr Utd 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Inverness CT's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Queen of the South 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Inverness CT arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Raith Rovers and 1.7 for Inverness CT. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.93 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Raith Rovers 1–1 Inverness CT. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raith Rovers42%fair 2.38 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Inverness CT35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
3.59Expected goals
1.88Raith Rovers xG
1.71Inverness CT xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.9 – 1.7 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✓
42%
2.38
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.98
–
Form
Raith Rovers – last 3
WLD
27 Mar
vs Ayr Utd
3–0
W
24 Mar
vs Partick
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs ST Johnstone
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Inverness CT – last 4
DWWD
27 Mar
vs Queen of the South
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Peterhead
3–1
W
24 Feb
@ Ayr Utd
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Stenhousemuir
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Inverness CT.
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Inverness CT 35%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?
Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–1 Inverness CT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT?
Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:10 (West Africa Time) at Firhill Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
