Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigres UANL to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37
FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL preview and prediction
The match
Tigres UANL travel to TQL Stadium in the CONCACAF Champions League on Friday 13 March (01:00 WAT) to face FC Cincinnati.
Form guide
FC Cincinnati's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Toronto FC 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tigres UANL's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Monterrey 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for FC Cincinnati and 1.9 for Tigres UANL. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Cincinnati 33%, draw 22%, Tigres UANL 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 55% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.30, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 1–1 Tigres UANL. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Cincinnati33%fair 3.07 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Tigres UANL45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
3.45Expected goals
1.57FC Cincinnati xG
1.87Tigres UANL xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 1.6 – 1.9 Tigres UANL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✗
45%
2.22
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.40 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.37
–
Form
FC Cincinnati – last 4
LWLW
9 Mar
vs Toronto FC
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Universidad O&M
9–0
W
22 Feb
vs Louisville City
0–4
L
19 Feb
@ Universidad O&M
4–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Tigres UANL – last 5
WLWLL
8 Mar
vs Monterrey
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Puebla
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Club America
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and Tigres UANL.
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tigres UANL 45%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 1–1 Tigres UANL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?
FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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