Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Ordabasy to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdabasy to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Irtysh vs Ordabasy preview and prediction
The match
Irtysh host Ordabasy in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Centralnyj Stadion. Irtysh are 12th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Ordabasy sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Irtysh's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Atyrau 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Ordabasy's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Zhenys 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Ordabasy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Irtysh and 1.8 for Ordabasy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Irtysh 19%, draw 23%, Ordabasy 58%.
Safer route: Ordabasy or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Ordabasy to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ordabasy or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Irtysh 0–1 Ordabasy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Irtysh19%fair 5.34 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
Ordabasy58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
2.64Expected goals
0.88Irtysh xG
1.76Ordabasy xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Irtysh 0.9 – 1.8 Ordabasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ordabasy or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Ordabasy ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.98
–
Form
Irtysh – last 6
WLLLWW
25 Oct
@ Atyrau
3–2
W
18 Oct
@ Kairat Almaty
0–5
L
14 Oct
vs FC Astana
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Altay
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Okzhetpes
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ordabasy – last 6
DWWWWL
24 Oct
vs Zhenys
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Aktobe
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Kaisar
4–1
W
17 Sep
@ Atyrau
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs FC Astana
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Okzhetpes
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irtysh and Ordabasy.
Our pick is Ordabasy or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Irtysh vs Ordabasy?
On our numbers Irtysh have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ordabasy 58%.
How many goals will there be in Irtysh vs Ordabasy?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irtysh vs Ordabasy?
Our predicted score is Irtysh 0–1 Ordabasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Irtysh vs Ordabasy?
Irtysh vs Ordabasy (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
