Value bet: Irtysh to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIrtysh to win ✓40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Atyrau vs Irtysh preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Atyrau take on Irtysh on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Munaishy Stadium. Atyrau are 13th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Irtysh sit 12th on 32 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atyrau's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Altay 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Irtysh's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Kairat Almaty 0–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished Irtysh 1–1 Atyrau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Atyrau and 1.1 for Irtysh. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atyrau 35%, draw 24%, Irtysh 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Irtysh to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Atyrau 1–1 Irtysh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atyrau35%fair 2.83 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
Irtysh40%fair 2.49 · @2.80
2.18Expected goals
1.04Atyrau xG
1.14Irtysh xG
56%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Atyrau 1.0 – 1.1 Irtysh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Atyrau vs Irtysh?
On our numbers Atyrau have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Irtysh 40%.
How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Irtysh?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Irtysh?
Our predicted score is Atyrau 1–1 Irtysh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atyrau vs Irtysh?
Atyrau vs Irtysh (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Munaishy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
