Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Irtysh to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIrtysh to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceIrtysh or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.09
Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar preview and prediction
The match
Irtysh host Kyzyl-Zhar in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Centralnyj Stadion. Irtysh are 12th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Kyzyl-Zhar sit 10th on 33 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Irtysh's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Altay 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kyzyl-Zhar's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Kaisar 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Irtysh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Irtysh 1–2 Kyzyl-Zhar. Across their last 2 meetings Irtysh have won 0, Kyzyl-Zhar 1, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Irtysh and 0.8 for Kyzyl-Zhar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Irtysh to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Irtysh or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Irtysh 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Irtysh58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Kyzyl-Zhar16%fair 6.21 · @3.40
2.49Expected goals
1.70Irtysh xG
0.79Kyzyl-Zhar xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Irtysh 1.7 – 0.8 Kyzyl-Zhar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Irtysh or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
On our numbers Irtysh have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kyzyl-Zhar 16%.
How many goals will there be in Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Our predicted score is Irtysh 1–0 Kyzyl-Zhar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Irtysh vs Kyzyl-Zhar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
