Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.82
Atyrau vs Ordabasy preview and prediction
The match
Ordabasy travel to Turkestan Arena in the Premier League on Thursday 17 September (16:00 WAT) to face Atyrau. Atyrau are 13th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Ordabasy sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atyrau's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Kaisar 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ordabasy's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat FC Astana 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ordabasy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Atyrau and 1.6 for Ordabasy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atyrau 16%, draw 22%, Ordabasy 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ordabasy to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Atyrau 0–1 Ordabasy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atyrau16%fair 6.21 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.60
Ordabasy62%fair 1.62 · @1.44
2.22Expected goals
0.64Atyrau xG
1.58Ordabasy xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Atyrau 0.6 – 1.6 Ordabasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Double chance
Ordabasy or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.82
–
Form
Atyrau – last 6
LWLLDD
12 Sep
@ Kaisar
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs FC Astana
2–3
L
16 Aug
vs Okzhetpes
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Aktobe
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Zhetysu
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ordabasy – last 6
WLWWWW
12 Sep
vs FC Astana
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Okzhetpes
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
3–0
W
19 Aug
@ Altay
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Altay
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Zhetysu
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atyrau and Ordabasy.
Our pick is Ordabasy to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Atyrau vs Ordabasy?
On our numbers Atyrau have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ordabasy 62%.
How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Ordabasy?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Ordabasy?
Our predicted score is Atyrau 0–1 Ordabasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atyrau vs Ordabasy?
Atyrau vs Ordabasy (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
