Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.34
Ordabasy vs FC Astana preview and prediction
The match
FC Astana travel to Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov in the Premier League on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT) to face Ordabasy. Ordabasy are 1st with 68 points from 30 games (top of the table), while FC Astana sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ordabasy's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Okzhetpes 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Astana's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Yelimay Semey 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Ordabasy and 0.9 for FC Astana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ordabasy 61%, draw 24%, FC Astana 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ordabasy to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ordabasy 1–0 FC Astana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ordabasy61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
FC Astana15%fair 6.72 · @3.90
2.77Expected goals
1.91Ordabasy xG
0.86FC Astana xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 1.9 – 0.9 FC Astana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Ordabasy or draw✓
85%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Ordabasy ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.34
–
Form
Ordabasy – last 6
LWWWWW
5 Sep
@ Okzhetpes
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
3–0
W
19 Aug
@ Altay
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Altay
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Zhetysu
4–0
W
2 Aug
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Astana – last 6
WWDWWW
6 Sep
vs Yelimay Semey
4–0
W
30 Aug
@ Atyrau
3–2
W
16 Aug
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Okzhetpes
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ Ulytau
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Altay
4–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordabasy and FC Astana.
Our pick is Ordabasy to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ordabasy vs FC Astana?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Astana 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs FC Astana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs FC Astana?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 1–0 FC Astana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs FC Astana?
Ordabasy vs FC Astana (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
