Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Kairat Almaty to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKairat Almaty to win ✗62% · @1.44
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✗81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay preview and prediction
The match
Kairat Almaty host FK Tobol Kostanay in the Premier League on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Almaty Central Stadium. Kairat Almaty are 2nd with 65 points from 30 games (in the top four), while FK Tobol Kostanay sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kairat Almaty's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Zhenys 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Tobol Kostanay's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Ulytau 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kairat Almaty arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Kairat Almaty and 0.8 for FK Tobol Kostanay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Kairat Almaty to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Kairat Almaty 1–0 FK Tobol Kostanay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kairat Almaty62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.90
FK Tobol Kostanay19%fair 5.35 · @6.00
2.63Expected goals
1.80Kairat Almaty xG
0.83FK Tobol Kostanay xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 1.8 – 0.8 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kairat Almaty to win✗
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Kairat Almaty or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Kairat Almaty ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Form
Kairat Almaty – last 6
WWWLLW
9 Sep
vs Zhenys
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Kaspiy
3–0
W
31 Aug
@ Yelimay Semey
2–0
W
27 Aug
@ Anderlecht
0–3
L
20 Aug
vs Anderlecht
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Ulytau
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6
WLWWLL
6 Sep
vs Ulytau
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Kaspiy
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Kaisar
3–2
W
16 Aug
@ Irtysh
2–0
W
13 Aug
vs FK Partizan
1–2
L
6 Aug
@ FK Partizan
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kairat Almaty and FK Tobol Kostanay.
What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our pick is Kairat Almaty to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FK Tobol Kostanay 19%.
How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 1–0 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Almaty Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
