Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKairat Almaty to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty preview and prediction
The match
Kaspiy host Kairat Almaty in the Premier League on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Zhestar Stadium. Kaspiy are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Kairat Almaty sit 2nd on 65 points (in the top four). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kaspiy's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kairat Almaty's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Yelimay Semey 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kaspiy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Kaspiy and 1.9 for Kairat Almaty. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Kairat Almaty to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Kaspiy 0–1 Kairat Almaty. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaspiy14%fair 7.29 · @6.00
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.20
Kairat Almaty67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
2.56Expected goals
0.68Kaspiy xG
1.88Kairat Almaty xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kaspiy 0.7 – 1.9 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kairat Almaty to win✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Double chance
Kairat Almaty or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Kairat Almaty ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.88
–
Form
Kaspiy – last 6
WDDLWD
30 Aug
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Yelimay Semey
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Ulytau
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Irtysh
2–3
L
26 Jul
vs Zhenys
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ Kaisar
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kairat Almaty – last 6
WLLWLL
31 Aug
@ Yelimay Semey
2–0
W
27 Aug
@ Anderlecht
0–3
L
20 Aug
vs Anderlecht
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Ulytau
3–1
W
11 Aug
vs Levski Sofia
0–1
L
4 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaspiy and Kairat Almaty.
What is the prediction for Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty?
Our pick is Kairat Almaty to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty?
On our numbers Kaspiy have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kairat Almaty 67%.
How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty?
Our predicted score is Kaspiy 0–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty?
Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
