Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay preview and prediction
The match
Ordabasy host FK Tobol Kostanay in the Premier League on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Ordabasy are 1st with 68 points from 30 games (top of the table), while FK Tobol Kostanay sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ordabasy's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Kairat Almaty 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FK Tobol Kostanay's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Panevėžys 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ordabasy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished FK Tobol Kostanay 0–3 Ordabasy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Ordabasy and 0.7 for FK Tobol Kostanay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ordabasy 66%, draw 24%, FK Tobol Kostanay 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ordabasy 2–0 FK Tobol Kostanay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ordabasy66%fair 1.52 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @4.20
FK Tobol Kostanay11%fair 9.39 · @5.50
2.74Expected goals
2.01Ordabasy xG
0.73FK Tobol Kostanay xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 2.0 – 0.7 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Tobol Kostanay 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 2–0 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
