Value bet: Kaspiy to win @ 2.95 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKaspiy to win ✗40% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.92
Irtysh vs Kaspiy preview and prediction
The match
Irtysh host Kaspiy in the Premier League on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Centralnyj Stadion. Irtysh are 12th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Kaspiy sit 11th on 33 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Irtysh's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Ulytau 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Kaspiy's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Zhenys 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kaspiy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Kaspiy 2–2 Irtysh.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Irtysh and 1.3 for Kaspiy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Irtysh 36%, draw 24%, Kaspiy 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Kaspiy to win at 2.95 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Irtysh 1–1 Kaspiy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Irtysh36%fair 2.80 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Kaspiy40%fair 2.47 · @2.95
2.42Expected goals
1.16Irtysh xG
1.26Kaspiy xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Irtysh 1.2 – 1.3 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Irtysh vs Kaspiy?
On our numbers Irtysh have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kaspiy 40%.
How many goals will there be in Irtysh vs Kaspiy?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irtysh vs Kaspiy?
Our predicted score is Irtysh 1–1 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Irtysh vs Kaspiy?
Irtysh vs Kaspiy (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
