Value bet: Ordabasy to win @ 1.60 – our chance 67% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey preview and prediction
The match
Yelimay Semey travel to Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov in the Premier League on Sunday 19 July (17:00 WAT) to face Ordabasy. Ordabasy are 1st with 68 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Yelimay Semey sit 6th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ordabasy's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Altay 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Yelimay Semey's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Alashkert 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ordabasy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Yelimay Semey 1–3 Ordabasy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Ordabasy and 0.6 for Yelimay Semey. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Ordabasy to win at 1.60 – 67% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ordabasy 1–0 Yelimay Semey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ordabasy67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Yelimay Semey12%fair 8.23 · @5.25
2.52Expected goals
1.88Ordabasy xG
0.65Yelimay Semey xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 1.9 – 0.6 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yelimay Semey 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 1–0 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
