Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Okzhetpes to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOkzhetpes to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceOkzhetpes or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.01
Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Okzhetpes take on Zhetysu on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Okzhetpes Stadium. Okzhetpes are 4th with 54 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Zhetysu sit 15th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Okzhetpes's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to FK Tobol Kostanay 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Zhetysu's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Altay 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Zhetysu 2–2 Okzhetpes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Okzhetpes and 0.8 for Zhetysu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Okzhetpes to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Okzhetpes or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Okzhetpes 1–0 Zhetysu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Okzhetpes61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.35
Zhetysu16%fair 6.25 · @3.50
2.71Expected goals
1.87Okzhetpes xG
0.84Zhetysu xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Okzhetpes 1.9 – 0.8 Zhetysu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Okzhetpes or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?
On our numbers Okzhetpes have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zhetysu 16%.
How many goals will there be in Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?
Our predicted score is Okzhetpes 1–0 Zhetysu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?
Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Okzhetpes Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
