Value bet: Atyrau to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYelimay Semey to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey preview and prediction
The match
Yelimay Semey travel to Turkestan Arena in the Premier League on Wednesday 14 October (15:00 WAT) to face Atyrau. Atyrau are 13th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Yelimay Semey sit 6th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atyrau's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Zhenys 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Yelimay Semey's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Aktobe 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Yelimay Semey 1–2 Atyrau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Atyrau and 1.3 for Yelimay Semey. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Atyrau to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Atyrau 1–1 Yelimay Semey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atyrau35%fair 2.88 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Yelimay Semey44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
2.33Expected goals
1.07Atyrau xG
1.26Yelimay Semey xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atyrau 1.1 – 1.3 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
On our numbers Atyrau have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yelimay Semey 44%.
How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
Our predicted score is Atyrau 1–1 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey?
Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
