FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: FK Tobol Kostanay to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.95
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes preview and prediction
The match
FK Tobol Kostanay host Okzhetpes in the Premier League on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Centralnyj Stadion. FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th with 41 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Okzhetpes sit 4th on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Tobol Kostanay's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Altay 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Okzhetpes's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Kairat Almaty 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Okzhetpes 2–1 FK Tobol Kostanay.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for FK Tobol Kostanay and 1.0 for Okzhetpes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Tobol Kostanay 57%, draw 21%, Okzhetpes 21%.
Safer route: FK Tobol Kostanay or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Value angle: FK Tobol Kostanay to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Tobol Kostanay or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Okzhetpes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Tobol Kostanay57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.65
Okzhetpes21%fair 4.71 · @3.25
2.78Expected goals
1.80FK Tobol Kostanay xG
0.98Okzhetpes xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 1.8 – 1.0 Okzhetpes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?
Our pick is FK Tobol Kostanay or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?
On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Okzhetpes 21%.
How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?
Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0 Okzhetpes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes?
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
