Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.32Odds
1
Value bet: Yelimay Semey to win @ 3.98 – our chance 48% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +90%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYelimay Semey to win ✗48% · @3.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau preview and prediction
The match
Yelimay Semey host Atyrau in the Premier League on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak. Yelimay Semey are 6th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Atyrau sit 13th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Yelimay Semey's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Ordabasy 1–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Atyrau's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Kairat Almaty 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Yelimay Semey and 0.9 for Atyrau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Yelimay Semey to win at 3.98 – 48% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Yelimay Semey 1–1 Atyrau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yelimay Semey48%fair 2.10 · @3.98
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.48
Atyrau28%fair 3.54 · @1.75
2.26Expected goals
1.33Yelimay Semey xG
0.94Atyrau xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Yelimay Semey 1.3 – 0.9 Atyrau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yelimay Semey to win✗
48%
2.10
3.98 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yelimay Semey / FT Yelimay Semey✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.24
–
Form
Yelimay Semey – last 6
LWWLLD
14 Jun
vs Ordabasy
1–3
L
28 May
@ Kaisar
3–2
W
23 May
vs Zhenys
2–1
W
3 May
@ Ulytau
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Aktobe
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atyrau – last 6
DDDDDW
13 Jun
@ Kairat Almaty
1–1
D
28 May
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–1
D
23 May
@ Zhetysu
0–0
D
17 May
@ Aktobe
1–1
D
9 May
@ Okzhetpes
0–0
D
3 May
vs Altay
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yelimay Semey and Atyrau.
What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
On our numbers Yelimay Semey have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atyrau 28%.
How many goals will there be in Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
Our predicted score is Yelimay Semey 1–1 Atyrau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau?
Yelimay Semey vs Atyrau (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
