Value bet: Ordabasy to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdabasy to win ✓46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.51
Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Yelimay Semey take on Ordabasy on Sunday 14 June, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak. Yelimay Semey are 6th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Ordabasy sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Yelimay Semey's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Kaisar 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Ordabasy's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Kairat Almaty 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ordabasy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Yelimay Semey and 1.4 for Ordabasy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Ordabasy to win at 2.38 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Yelimay Semey 1–1 Ordabasy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yelimay Semey33%fair 2.99 · @2.65
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Ordabasy46%fair 2.20 · @2.38
2.61Expected goals
1.18Yelimay Semey xG
1.44Ordabasy xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Yelimay Semey 1.2 – 1.4 Ordabasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
46%
2.20
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.51
–
Form
Yelimay Semey – last 6
WWLLDW
28 May
@ Kaisar
3–2
W
23 May
vs Zhenys
2–1
W
3 May
@ Ulytau
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Aktobe
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Turan Turkistan
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ordabasy – last 6
WWWWDW
28 May
vs Kairat Almaty
2–1
W
23 May
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
3–0
W
17 May
vs Zhetysu
2–1
W
13 May
vs Zhetysu
1–0
W
10 May
@ Altay
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Kaspiy
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yelimay Semey and Ordabasy.
What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
On our numbers Yelimay Semey have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ordabasy 46%.
How many goals will there be in Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
Our predicted score is Yelimay Semey 1–1 Ordabasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy?
Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
