Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKairat Almaty to win ✗66% · @1.33
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.34
Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Kairat Almaty take on Atyrau on Saturday 13 June, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Almaty Central Stadium. Kairat Almaty are 2nd with 65 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Atyrau sit 13th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kairat Almaty's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Ordabasy 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Atyrau's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kairat Almaty arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Kairat Almaty and 0.5 for Atyrau. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 56% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Kairat Almaty 1–0 Atyrau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kairat Almaty66%fair 1.51 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.40
Atyrau13%fair 7.50 · @8.60
2.17Expected goals
1.64Kairat Almaty xG
0.53Atyrau xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 1.6 – 0.5 Atyrau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kairat Almaty to win✗
66%
1.51
1.33
Double chance
Kairat Almaty or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.34
–
Form
Kairat Almaty – last 6
LDWDWW
28 May
@ Ordabasy
1–2
L
23 May
vs Kaisar
0–0
D
17 May
@ Zhenys
2–1
W
10 May
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
6 May
@ Kaisar
2–1
W
2 May
@ Irtysh
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atyrau – last 6
DDDDWL
28 May
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–1
D
23 May
@ Zhetysu
0–0
D
17 May
@ Aktobe
1–1
D
9 May
@ Okzhetpes
0–0
D
3 May
vs Altay
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kairat Almaty and Atyrau.
What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau?
On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atyrau 13%.
How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau?
Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 1–0 Atyrau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau?
Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Almaty Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
