Kaspiy host Irtysh in the Premier League on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Zhestar Stadium. Kaspiy are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Irtysh sit 12th on 32 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kaspiy's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Ordabasy 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Irtysh's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Kairat Almaty 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Kaspiy and 1.0 for Irtysh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaspiy 46%, draw 22%, Irtysh 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kaspiy 1–0 Irtysh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaspiy46%fair 2.15 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Irtysh31%fair 3.18 · @3.00
2.26Expected goals
1.28Kaspiy xG
0.98Irtysh xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kaspiy 1.3 – 1.0 Irtysh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaspiy to win✗
46%
2.15
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaspiy / FT Kaspiy✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.47
–
Form
Kaspiy – last 6
LLWLDL
30 Apr
@ Ordabasy
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Ekibastuz
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Okzhetpes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Irtysh – last 6
LLLLWD
2 May
vs Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Zhetysu
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Altay
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaspiy and Irtysh.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kaspiy vs Irtysh?
On our numbers Kaspiy have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Irtysh 31%.
How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs Irtysh?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs Irtysh?
Our predicted score is Kaspiy 1–0 Irtysh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kaspiy vs Irtysh?
Kaspiy vs Irtysh (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
