Value bet: Okzhetpes to win @ 2.95 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOkzhetpes to win ✓39% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes preview and prediction
The match
Kaspiy host Okzhetpes in the Premier League on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Zhestar Stadium. Kaspiy are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Okzhetpes sit 4th on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Kaspiy and 1.5 for Okzhetpes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaspiy 36%, draw 26%, Okzhetpes 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Okzhetpes to win at 2.95 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Kaspiy 1–1 Okzhetpes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaspiy36%fair 2.81 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Okzhetpes39%fair 2.59 · @2.95
2.73Expected goals
1.23Kaspiy xG
1.50Okzhetpes xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Kaspiy 1.2 – 1.5 Okzhetpes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Okzhetpes to win✓
39%
2.59
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Okzhetpes / FT Okzhetpes✓
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
Kaspiy – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Okzhetpes – last 1
D
7 Mar
vs Yelimay Semey
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaspiy and Okzhetpes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes?
On our numbers Kaspiy have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Okzhetpes 39%.
How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes?
Our predicted score is Kaspiy 1–1 Okzhetpes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes?
Kaspiy vs Okzhetpes (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
