FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗69% · @1.30
Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu preview and prediction
The match
Zhetysu travel to Centralnyj Stadion in the Premier League on Monday 16 March (13:00 WAT) to face FK Tobol Kostanay. FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th with 41 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Zhetysu sit 15th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.8 for FK Tobol Kostanay and 1.1 for Zhetysu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Tobol Kostanay 69%, draw 23%, Zhetysu 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 56% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Tobol Kostanay 2–1 Zhetysu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Tobol Kostanay69%fair 1.44 · @1.30
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.60
Zhetysu7%fair 13.38 · @9.25
3.90Expected goals
2.83FK Tobol Kostanay xG
1.07Zhetysu xG
56%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–08%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: FK Tobol Kostanay 2.8 – 1.1 Zhetysu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Tobol Kostanay to win✗
69%
1.44
1.30
Double chance
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.36
Half-time result
FK Tobol Kostanay ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 1
L
7 Mar
@ Aktobe
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Zhetysu – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ FC Astana
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Tobol Kostanay and Zhetysu.
What is the prediction for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
On our numbers FK Tobol Kostanay have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zhetysu 7%.
How many goals will there be in FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
Our predicted score is FK Tobol Kostanay 2–1 Zhetysu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu?
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhetysu (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
