Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Western Knights to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWestern Knights to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceWestern Knights or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Balcatta vs Western Knights preview and prediction
The match
Balcatta host Western Knights in the Western Australia NPL on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Balcatta's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Armadale 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Western Knights's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Stirling Lions 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Western Knights arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.3 for Balcatta and 2.7 for Western Knights. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Balcatta 15%, draw 21%, Western Knights 64%.
Safer route: Western Knights or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Western Knights to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Western Knights or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Balcatta 1–2 Western Knights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Balcatta15%fair 6.68 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.75
Western Knights64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
4.05Expected goals
1.35Balcatta xG
2.70Western Knights xG
66%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–26%
1–16%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Balcatta 1.3 – 2.7 Western Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Western Knights to win✗
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Western Knights or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Western Knights ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Western Knights / FT Western Knights✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.66
–
Form
Balcatta – last 6
LLLLWL
9 May
@ Armadale
0–5
L
25 Apr
vs Perth RedStar
2–4
L
18 Apr
vs Bayswater City
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Sorrento
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Perth Glory II
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Perth
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Western Knights – last 6
WLLWLW
16 May
vs Stirling Lions
2–1
W
9 May
@ Perth Glory II
1–3
L
25 Apr
@ Olympic Kingsway
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Armadale
5–4
W
4 Apr
@ Sorrento
0–1
L
28 Mar
vs Perth RedStar
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Balcatta and Western Knights.
What is the prediction for Balcatta vs Western Knights?
Our pick is Western Knights or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Balcatta vs Western Knights?
On our numbers Balcatta have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Western Knights 64%.
How many goals will there be in Balcatta vs Western Knights?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Balcatta vs Western Knights?
Our predicted score is Balcatta 1–2 Western Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Balcatta vs Western Knights?
Balcatta vs Western Knights (Western Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Western Australia NPL · Australia
Stirling Lions1
Bayswater City2
Fremantle City4
Perth Glory II3