Value bet: Armadale to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArmadale to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗73% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.44
Armadale vs Balcatta preview and prediction
The match
The Western Australia NPL sees Armadale take on Balcatta on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Armadale's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Stirling Lions 2–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Balcatta's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Perth RedStar 2–4 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.8 for Armadale and 1.7 for Balcatta. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 73% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Armadale to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Armadale 2–1 Balcatta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Armadale62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @3.75
Balcatta21%fair 4.87 · @3.20
4.50Expected goals
2.85Armadale xG
1.65Balcatta xG
73%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–15%
4–15%
From our goals model: Armadale 2.8 – 1.7 Balcatta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Armadale to win✓
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Armadale ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Armadale / FT Armadale✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.44
–
Form
Armadale – last 6
LLDLDL
25 Apr
vs Stirling Lions
2–4
L
18 Apr
@ Western Knights
4–5
L
4 Apr
@ Olympic Kingsway
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Fremantle City
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Sorrento
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Perth
5–6
L
2.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Balcatta – last 6
LLLWLL
25 Apr
vs Perth RedStar
2–4
L
18 Apr
vs Bayswater City
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Sorrento
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Perth Glory II
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Perth
0–2
L
14 Mar
vs Olympic Kingsway
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Armadale and Balcatta.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Armadale vs Balcatta?
On our numbers Armadale have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Balcatta 21%.
How many goals will there be in Armadale vs Balcatta?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Armadale vs Balcatta?
Our predicted score is Armadale 2–1 Balcatta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Armadale vs Balcatta?
Armadale vs Balcatta (Western Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Western Australia NPL · Australia
Stirling Lions3
Dianella White Eagle4
Perth Glory II3
Western Knights1