Value bet: Perth Glory II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPerth Glory II to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.27
Balcatta vs Perth Glory II preview and prediction
The match
Balcatta host Perth Glory II in the Western Australia NPL on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Balcatta's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Perth 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.8 conceded.
Perth Glory II's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Olympic Kingsway 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Perth Glory II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 1.7 for Balcatta and 2.7 for Perth Glory II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Balcatta 24%, draw 14%, Perth Glory II 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Perth Glory II to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Balcatta 1–2 Perth Glory II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Balcatta24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Draw14%fair 7.09 · @3.70
Perth Glory II62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
4.44Expected goals
1.69Balcatta xG
2.75Perth Glory II xG
69%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%
From our goals model: Balcatta 1.7 – 2.7 Perth Glory II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Perth Glory II to win✗
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Perth Glory II ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Perth Glory II / FT Perth Glory II✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.27
–
Form
Balcatta – last 4
LLLL
21 Mar
@ Perth
0–2
L
14 Mar
vs Olympic Kingsway
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Fremantle City
3–4
L
27 Feb
@ Bayswater City
0–7
L
1.0Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Perth Glory II – last 5
LLWDD
28 Mar
@ Olympic Kingsway
2–4
L
21 Mar
@ Perth RedStar
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Stirling Lions
4–2
W
6 Mar
@ Perth
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ Sorrento
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Balcatta and Perth Glory II.
What is the prediction for Balcatta vs Perth Glory II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Balcatta vs Perth Glory II?
On our numbers Balcatta have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Perth Glory II 62%.
How many goals will there be in Balcatta vs Perth Glory II?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Balcatta vs Perth Glory II?
Our predicted score is Balcatta 1–2 Perth Glory II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Balcatta vs Perth Glory II?
Balcatta vs Perth Glory II (Western Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Western Australia NPL · Australia
Olympic Kingsway0
Armadale0