Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Adelaide City to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAdelaide City to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceAdelaide City or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.34
FK Beograd vs Adelaide City preview and prediction
The match
FK Beograd host Adelaide City in the South Australia NPL on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT) at Frank Mitchell Park.
Form guide
FK Beograd's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Campbelltown City 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Adelaide City's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Playford City Patriots 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Adelaide City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Adelaide City 2–2 FK Beograd.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for FK Beograd and 2.1 for Adelaide City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Beograd 13%, draw 22%, Adelaide City 66%.
Safer route: Adelaide City or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Adelaide City to win at 1.73 – 66% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Adelaide City or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Beograd 0–2 Adelaide City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Beograd13%fair 7.90 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Adelaide City66%fair 1.53 · @1.73
2.88Expected goals
0.81FK Beograd xG
2.07Adelaide City xG
46%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: FK Beograd 0.8 – 2.1 Adelaide City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Beograd vs Adelaide City?
Our pick is Adelaide City or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Beograd vs Adelaide City?
On our numbers FK Beograd have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Adelaide City 66%.
How many goals will there be in FK Beograd vs Adelaide City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Beograd vs Adelaide City?
Our predicted score is FK Beograd 0–2 Adelaide City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FK Beograd vs Adelaide City?
FK Beograd vs Adelaide City (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Frank Mitchell Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Frank Mitchell Park
Sturt Lions1
Campbelltown City3
West Torrens Birkalla2
Adelaide United II1
West Adelaide1
Playford City Patriots2