Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Sturt Lions to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturt Lions to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets preview and prediction
The match
The South Australia NPL sees Sturt Lions take on Adelaide Comets on Tuesday 11 August, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Karinya Reserve.
Form guide
Sturt Lions's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Croydon Kings 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Adelaide Comets's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to MetroStars 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sturt Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Adelaide Comets 2–1 Sturt Lions.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Sturt Lions and 1.1 for Adelaide Comets. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Sturt Lions to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sturt Lions 2–1 Adelaide Comets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturt Lions62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw12%fair 8.06 · @3.65
Adelaide Comets25%fair 3.95 · @3.45
3.16Expected goals
2.02Sturt Lions xG
1.14Adelaide Comets xG
51%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sturt Lions 2.0 – 1.1 Adelaide Comets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
Our pick is Sturt Lions to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Adelaide Comets 25%.
How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 2–1 Adelaide Comets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve
