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South Australia NPL · Australia

Adelaide United II

WDLDD
2–3
FT

Sturt Lions

DWLWL

Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAdelaide United II to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39

Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions preview and prediction

The match

Sturt Lions travel to face Adelaide United II in the South Australia NPL on Saturday 25 July (06:30 WAT).

Form guide

Adelaide United II's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat FK Beograd 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sturt Lions's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with West Adelaide 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Sturt Lions 2–3 Adelaide United II.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Adelaide United II and 1.4 for Sturt Lions. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Adelaide United II 1–1 Sturt Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Adelaide United II43%fair 2.35 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.70
Sturt Lions36%fair 2.75 · @2.85
3.00Expected goals
1.57Adelaide United II xG
1.43Sturt Lions xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Adelaide United II 1.6 – 1.4 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAdelaide United II to win ✗43%2.352.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.65
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Adelaide United II / FT Adelaide United II ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.39–

Form

Adelaide United II – last 6

WDLDDL
19 Jul@ FK Beograd2–0W
4 Julvs Campbelltown City0–0D
26 Jun@ Croydon Kings0–3L
20 Junvs Adelaide Comets1–1D
13 Junvs Adelaide City0–0D
7 Jun@ West Adelaide1–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sturt Lions – last 6

DWLWLL
18 Jul@ West Adelaide0–0D
4 Julvs Playford City Patriots1–0W
26 Jun@ West Torrens Birkalla1–4L
20 Junvs Para Hills Knights6–0W
13 Jun@ MetroStars0–1L
5 Jun@ Adelaide City1–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Sturt Lions v Adelaide United II2–3
Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions head-to-head page →

More South Australia NPL predictions

FT Adelaide City1 West Torrens Birkalla0 145%2.00X21%3.25234%3.20 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.57 ✗
FT Adelaide Comets1 FK Beograd0 120%3.30X16%3.60264%1.85 2FK Beograd to win 64%@1.85 ✗
FT Para Hills Knights2 Playford City Patriots4 16%14.00X17%9.50278%1.05 O3.5Over 3.5 goals 68%@1.25 ✓
FT MetroStars1 West Adelaide3 174%1.25X17%5.0029%8.50 1MetroStars to win 74%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?

On our numbers Adelaide United II have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sturt Lions 36%.

How many goals will there be in Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?

Our predicted score is Adelaide United II 1–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?

Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.