Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.88
West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions preview and prediction
The match
The South Australia NPL sees West Adelaide take on Sturt Lions on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 06:30 (WAT) at Kilburn Sportsplex.
Form guide
West Adelaide's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to FK Beograd 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sturt Lions's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Playford City Patriots 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sturt Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Sturt Lions 4–3 West Adelaide.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.9 for West Adelaide and 1.9 for Sturt Lions. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: West Adelaide 39%, draw 21%, Sturt Lions 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: West Adelaide 1–1 Sturt Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
West Adelaide39%fair 2.53 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.70
Sturt Lions39%fair 2.53 · @2.35
3.74Expected goals
1.87West Adelaide xG
1.87Sturt Lions xG
59%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: West Adelaide 1.9 – 1.9 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers West Adelaide have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sturt Lions 39%.
How many goals will there be in West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is West Adelaide 1–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions?
West Adelaide vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Kilburn Sportsplex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Kilburn Sportsplex
Playford City Patriots1
MetroStars0