Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots preview and prediction
The match
The South Australia NPL sees Sturt Lions take on Playford City Patriots on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 06:30 (WAT) at Karinya Reserve.
Form guide
Sturt Lions's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to West Torrens Birkalla 1–4 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Playford City Patriots's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to FK Beograd 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Playford City Patriots 2–1 Sturt Lions.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.8 for Sturt Lions and 2.0 for Playford City Patriots. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sturt Lions 1–1 Playford City Patriots. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturt Lions36%fair 2.74 · @2.50
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.70
Playford City Patriots44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
3.72Expected goals
1.76Sturt Lions xG
1.96Playford City Patriots xG
71%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Sturt Lions 1.8 – 2.0 Playford City Patriots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Playford City Patriots to win✗
44%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Playford City Patriots ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Playford City Patriots / FT Playford City Patriots✗
What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?
On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Playford City Patriots 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?
Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 1–1 Playford City Patriots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots?
Sturt Lions vs Playford City Patriots (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve
Adelaide City2
Para Hills Knights0
Adelaide United II0
Campbelltown City0
FK Beograd1
West Adelaide0
MetroStars3
West Torrens Birkalla1