Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetroStars to win ✓63% · @1.33
Double chanceMetroStars or draw ✓83% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
MetroStars vs Sturt Lions preview and prediction
The match
The South Australia NPL sees MetroStars take on Sturt Lions on Saturday 13 June, kicking off at 08:45 (WAT) at TK Shutter Reserve.
Form guide
MetroStars's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat FK Beograd 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Sturt Lions's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Adelaide City 1–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
MetroStars arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Sturt Lions 0–1 MetroStars.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for MetroStars and 1.2 for Sturt Lions. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was MetroStars to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: MetroStars 2–1 Sturt Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MetroStars63%fair 1.58 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @4.80
Sturt Lions17%fair 5.87 · @6.50
3.69Expected goals
2.45MetroStars xG
1.24Sturt Lions xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–18%
2–08%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: MetroStars 2.5 – 1.2 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is MetroStars to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers MetroStars have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sturt Lions 17%.
How many goals will there be in MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is MetroStars 2–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?
MetroStars vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at TK Shutter Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · TK Shutter Reserve
Para Hills Knights1
FK Beograd5
Adelaide United II0
Adelaide City0