Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Adelaide City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAdelaide City to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceAdelaide City or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions preview and prediction
The match
Adelaide City host Sturt Lions in the South Australia NPL on Friday 5 June, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Adelaide City Park.
Form guide
Adelaide City's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat West Adelaide 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sturt Lions's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat FK Beograd 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Sturt Lions 1–0 Adelaide City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Adelaide City and 1.1 for Sturt Lions. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Adelaide City 62%, draw 22%, Sturt Lions 16%.
Safer route: Adelaide City or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Adelaide City or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Adelaide City 2–1 Sturt Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Adelaide City62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Sturt Lions16%fair 6.18 · @4.20
3.25Expected goals
2.19Adelaide City xG
1.06Sturt Lions xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Adelaide City 2.2 – 1.1 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is Adelaide City or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers Adelaide City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sturt Lions 16%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is Adelaide City 2–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions?
Adelaide City vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Adelaide City Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Adelaide City Park
