Thursday, 12 November 2026 3 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve
2–1
FT

Sturt Lions vs FK Beograd prediction & analysis

55%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFK Beograd to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29

Sturt Lions vs FK Beograd preview and prediction

The match

The South Australia NPL sees Sturt Lions take on FK Beograd on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 06:30 (WAT) at Karinya Reserve.

Form guide

Sturt Lions's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Campbelltown City 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

FK Beograd's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Adelaide City 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.

FK Beograd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished White City Woodville 1–3 Sturt Lions.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Sturt Lions and 1.8 for FK Beograd. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Sturt Lions 1–1 FK Beograd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sturt Lions35%fair 2.85 · @2.55
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.70
FK Beograd46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
3.32Expected goals
1.53Sturt Lions xG
1.79FK Beograd xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%

From our goals model: Sturt Lions 1.5 – 1.8 FK Beograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Beograd to win ✗46%2.182.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.821.73
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Beograd / FT FK Beograd ✗27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.29–

Form

Sturt Lions – last 6

LLLLWL
23 May@ Campbelltown City0–2L
16 Mayvs Croydon Kings0–2L
8 May@ Adelaide Comets1–2L
2 Mayvs Adelaide United II2–3L
18 Aprvs Adelaide City1–0W
11 Apr@ Playford City Patriots1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FK Beograd – last 6

DWWWLD
23 May@ Adelaide City2–2D
16 Mayvs Campbelltown City3–1W
9 May@ Croydon Kings2–0W
2 Mayvs Adelaide Comets3–1W
18 Apr@ MetroStars0–3L
11 Apr@ West Adelaide0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026White City Woodville v Sturt Lions1–3
Sturt Lions vs FK Beograd head-to-head page →

More South Australia NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs FK Beograd?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Sturt Lions vs FK Beograd?

On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FK Beograd 46%.

How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs FK Beograd?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs FK Beograd?

Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 1–1 FK Beograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Sturt Lions vs FK Beograd?

Sturt Lions vs FK Beograd (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.