Adelaide United II vs MetroStars prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
MetroStars to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetroStars to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Adelaide United II vs MetroStars preview and prediction
The match
MetroStars travel to face Adelaide United II in the South Australia NPL on Saturday 9 May (07:45 WAT).
Form guide
Adelaide United II's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Sturt Lions 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
MetroStars's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with West Adelaide 3–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.3 for Adelaide United II and 2.2 for MetroStars. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Adelaide United II 23%, draw 18%, MetroStars 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was MetroStars to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Adelaide United II 1–2 MetroStars. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Adelaide United II23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.70
MetroStars59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
3.44Expected goals
1.27Adelaide United II xG
2.17MetroStars xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Adelaide United II 1.3 – 2.2 MetroStars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MetroStars to win✓
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
MetroStars ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MetroStars / FT MetroStars✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.42
–
Form
Adelaide United II – last 6
WWDDWD
2 May
@ Sturt Lions
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs West Adelaide
4–0
W
11 Apr
@ Campbelltown City
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Croydon Kings
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Adelaide Comets
1–0
W
14 Mar
@ Adelaide City
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
MetroStars – last 6
DWDWDW
2 May
@ West Adelaide
3–3
D
18 Apr
vs FK Beograd
3–0
W
10 Apr
@ West Torrens Birkalla
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Para Hills Knights
7–0
W
21 Mar
vs Adelaide City
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Sturt Lions
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adelaide United II and MetroStars.
What is the prediction for Adelaide United II vs MetroStars?
Our pick is MetroStars to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Adelaide United II vs MetroStars?
On our numbers Adelaide United II have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 18% and MetroStars 59%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide United II vs MetroStars?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide United II vs MetroStars?
Our predicted score is Adelaide United II 1–2 MetroStars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Adelaide United II vs MetroStars?
Adelaide United II vs MetroStars (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 07:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia
Para Hills Knights1
West Adelaide1
Adelaide City2
Campbelltown City1