Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Sturt Lions to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturt Lions to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions preview and prediction
The match
Sturt Lions travel to Ellis Park in the South Australia NPL on Friday 8 May (12:00 WAT) to face Adelaide Comets.
Form guide
Adelaide Comets's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to FK Beograd 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sturt Lions's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Adelaide United II 2–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sturt Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Adelaide Comets and 2.2 for Sturt Lions. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Sturt Lions to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Adelaide Comets 1–2 Sturt Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Adelaide Comets25%fair 4.02 · @3.40
Draw12%fair 8.17 · @4.00
Sturt Lions63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
3.41Expected goals
1.23Adelaide Comets xG
2.18Sturt Lions xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Adelaide Comets 1.2 – 2.2 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturt Lions to win✗
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Half-time result
Sturt Lions ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturt Lions / FT Sturt Lions✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.36
–
Form
Adelaide Comets – last 6
LLDLLL
2 May
@ FK Beograd
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs Playford City Patriots
1–2
L
11 Apr
@ Croydon Kings
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ Adelaide City
1–4
L
20 Mar
vs Adelaide United II
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ West Adelaide
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sturt Lions – last 6
LWLLWL
2 May
vs Adelaide United II
2–3
L
18 Apr
vs Adelaide City
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Playford City Patriots
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs West Torrens Birkalla
2–4
L
21 Mar
@ Para Hills Knights
5–0
W
14 Mar
vs MetroStars
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adelaide Comets and Sturt Lions.
What is the prediction for Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is Sturt Lions to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers Adelaide Comets have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Sturt Lions 63%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is Adelaide Comets 1–2 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?
Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ellis Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Ellis Park
West Torrens Birkalla3
Playford City Patriots3