Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAdelaide United II to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II preview and prediction
The match
Sturt Lions host Adelaide United II in the South Australia NPL on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 06:30 (WAT) at Karinya Reserve.
Form guide
Sturt Lions's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Adelaide City 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Adelaide United II's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat West Adelaide 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Sturt Lions and 1.7 for Adelaide United II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 67%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sturt Lions 38%, draw 21%, Adelaide United II 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Sturt Lions 1–1 Adelaide United II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturt Lions38%fair 2.67 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
Adelaide United II41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
3.36Expected goals
1.64Sturt Lions xG
1.72Adelaide United II xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Sturt Lions 1.6 – 1.7 Adelaide United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Adelaide United II to win✓
41%
2.43
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Adelaide United II / FT Adelaide United II✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
Sturt Lions – last 6
WLLWLW
18 Apr
vs Adelaide City
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Playford City Patriots
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs West Torrens Birkalla
2–4
L
21 Mar
@ Para Hills Knights
5–0
W
14 Mar
vs MetroStars
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs West Adelaide
4–3
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Adelaide United II – last 6
WDDWDL
19 Apr
vs West Adelaide
4–0
W
11 Apr
@ Campbelltown City
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Croydon Kings
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Adelaide Comets
1–0
W
14 Mar
@ Adelaide City
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs White City Woodville
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturt Lions and Adelaide United II.
What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Adelaide United II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 1–1 Adelaide United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II?
Sturt Lions vs Adelaide United II (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve
Playford City Patriots8
Para Hills Knights1
FK Beograd3
Adelaide Comets1
West Adelaide3
MetroStars3