Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions preview and prediction
The match
The South Australia NPL sees Playford City Patriots take on Sturt Lions on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 06:30 (WAT) at Ramsay Park.
Form guide
Playford City Patriots's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with FK Beograd 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.4 goals a game.
Sturt Lions's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to West Torrens Birkalla 2–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.2 for Playford City Patriots and 2.0 for Sturt Lions. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Playford City Patriots 2–1 Sturt Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Playford City Patriots45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
Sturt Lions35%fair 2.83 · @2.75
4.20Expected goals
2.23Playford City Patriots xG
1.97Sturt Lions xG
69%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
2–27%
1–17%
1–26%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Playford City Patriots 2.2 – 2.0 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Playford City Patriots to win✓
45%
2.21
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Playford City Patriots ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Playford City Patriots / FT Playford City Patriots✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
13.60
–
Form
Playford City Patriots – last 5
DLWWW
27 Mar
@ FK Beograd
2–2
D
21 Mar
@ Campbelltown City
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Croydon Kings
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ MetroStars
3–1
W
28 Feb
vs Adelaide United II
4–2
W
2.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Sturt Lions – last 5
LWLWW
28 Mar
vs West Torrens Birkalla
2–4
L
21 Mar
@ Para Hills Knights
5–0
W
14 Mar
vs MetroStars
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs West Adelaide
4–3
W
28 Feb
@ White City Woodville
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Playford City Patriots and Sturt Lions.
What is the prediction for Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers Playford City Patriots have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sturt Lions 35%.
How many goals will there be in Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is Playford City Patriots 2–1 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions?
Playford City Patriots vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Ramsay Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Ramsay Park
Para Hills Knights1
Adelaide City3
Campbelltown City1
Adelaide United II1