Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla preview and prediction
The match
The South Australia NPL sees Sturt Lions take on West Torrens Birkalla on Saturday 28 March, kicking off at 05:30 (WAT) at Karinya Reserve.
Form guide
Sturt Lions's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Para Hills Knights 5–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
West Torrens Birkalla's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat FK Beograd 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.0 for Sturt Lions and 2.0 for West Torrens Birkalla. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Sturt Lions 1–2 West Torrens Birkalla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturt Lions38%fair 2.66 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
West Torrens Birkalla41%fair 2.44 · @2.50
4.00Expected goals
1.96Sturt Lions xG
2.04West Torrens Birkalla xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Sturt Lions 2.0 – 2.0 West Torrens Birkalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Torrens Birkalla to win✓
41%
2.44
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
West Torrens Birkalla ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Torrens Birkalla / FT West Torrens Birkalla✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.36
–
Form
Sturt Lions – last 4
WLWW
21 Mar
@ Para Hills Knights
5–0
W
14 Mar
vs MetroStars
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs West Adelaide
4–3
W
28 Feb
@ White City Woodville
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
West Torrens Birkalla – last 4
WWDW
20 Mar
vs FK Beograd
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Campbelltown City
3–2
W
7 Mar
@ Para Hills Knights
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ Adelaide Comets
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturt Lions and West Torrens Birkalla.
What is the prediction for Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla?
On our numbers Sturt Lions have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and West Torrens Birkalla 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla?
Our predicted score is Sturt Lions 1–2 West Torrens Birkalla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla?
Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time) at Karinya Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia · Karinya Reserve
Adelaide City4
Adelaide Comets1
MetroStars7
Para Hills Knights0
West Adelaide4
Campbelltown City4