Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Sturt Lions to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturt Lions to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.78
Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions preview and prediction
The match
The South Australia NPL sees Para Hills Knights take on Sturt Lions on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 05:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Para Hills Knights's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to White City Woodville 0–5 away. They average 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Sturt Lions's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to MetroStars 0–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Sturt Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.6 for Para Hills Knights and 2.7 for Sturt Lions. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 81% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Sturt Lions to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Para Hills Knights 1–2 Sturt Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Para Hills Knights25%fair 4.08 · @3.80
Draw13%fair 7.99 · @4.20
Sturt Lions63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
4.33Expected goals
1.63Para Hills Knights xG
2.70Sturt Lions xG
68%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Para Hills Knights 1.6 – 2.7 Sturt Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturt Lions to win✓
63%
1.59
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.14
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Sturt Lions ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturt Lions / FT Sturt Lions✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.78
–
Form
Para Hills Knights – last 3
LDL
13 Mar
@ White City Woodville
0–5
L
7 Mar
vs West Torrens Birkalla
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Croydon Kings
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sturt Lions – last 3
LWW
14 Mar
vs MetroStars
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs West Adelaide
4–3
W
28 Feb
@ White City Woodville
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Para Hills Knights and Sturt Lions.
What is the prediction for Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
Our pick is Sturt Lions to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
On our numbers Para Hills Knights have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Sturt Lions 63%.
How many goals will there be in Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
Our predicted score is Para Hills Knights 1–2 Sturt Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?
Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions (South Australia NPL) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Australia NPL · Australia
Campbelltown City2
Playford City Patriots1
MetroStars2
Adelaide City2