Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrazil W to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceBrazil W or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Brazil W vs Canada W preview and prediction
The match
Canada W travel to Arena Pantanal in the Friendlies Women on Sunday 19 April (02:30 WAT) to face Brazil W.
Form guide
Brazil W's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Zambia W 6–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Brazil W and 1.3 for Canada W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brazil W 58%, draw 26%, Canada W 16%.
Safer route: Brazil W or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brazil W 2–1 Canada W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brazil W58%fair 1.74 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.25
Canada W16%fair 6.09 · @4.10
3.57Expected goals
2.31Brazil W xG
1.26Canada W xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Brazil W 2.3 – 1.3 Canada W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil W to win✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Double chance
Brazil W or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.28
Half-time result
Brazil W ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil W / FT Brazil W✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Brazil W – last 4
WWLW
15 Apr
vs Zambia W
6–1
W
12 Apr
vs South Korea W
5–1
W
8 Mar
@ Mexico W
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Costa Rica W
5–2
W
4.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Canada W – last 2
WL
14 Apr
vs South Korea W
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ USA W
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil W and Canada W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Brazil W vs Canada W?
On our numbers Brazil W have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Canada W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil W vs Canada W?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brazil W vs Canada W?
Our predicted score is Brazil W 2–1 Canada W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Brazil W vs Canada W?
Brazil W vs Canada W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
